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I included this chart in my blog post of January 3, 2025 and it is time for a revisit. If the pattern holds this year, October would be a great month to initiate or add to gold positions.

Here is the chart.

The 50-day and 200-day moving averages for gold and silver continue to be upsloping. As I wrote on September 5, 2025, silver has gotten ahead of its 50-day moving average. The price can continue to increase with the moving average catching up with the price or price pauses to have the moving average catch up to the price. Either way, the trend is up!

This past week gold has increased 1.89% and has increased 4.12% since my last blog posting on September5, 2025. Silver has increased 6.92% this week and 11.7% since September 5, 2025. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) declined 1.5% this week and has increased 1.86% since September 5, 2025. The metals doing their hedging thing.

On Friday, the FED’s favorite inflation gauge, the core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) was up .2% from last month and up 2.9% year-on-year in line with expectations. Tariffs inflation? What tariffs inflation? Companies purchased goods before the tariffs went into effect and they are using unspecified cost-saving measures. The private sector is smarter than the public sector.

Until next time…

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