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Tuesday's GDP came out at annualized rate of 4.3% for 3Q vs expectations of 3.3% and an increase from Q2 which was 3.8%. This was the fastest expansion in two years.
Of note: consumer spending was up 3.5% and exports was up 8.8%. Increased government spending also helped and a decline of 4.7% of imports added around 65bps to the number.
Proves that Trump/Bessent policies are correct and also is translates to much higher earnings in spx if we continue on this. I personally believe that >5% is possible.
The most recent U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) print, released on December 23, 2025, reported that real gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 4.3% in the third quarter of 2025 (July–September), according to the initial estimate from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. This marked an acceleration from the 3.8% growth rate recorded in the second quarter of 2025. The increase in real GDP was driven by growth in consumer spending, exports, and government spending, which were partially offset by a decrease in investment. Imports, which are subtracted in the GDP calculation, also decreased during the quarter.
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